Bitcoin (BTC) must reclaim one key shifting common to “regain its bullish standing,” one common analyst argues.

In evaluation issued to subscribers on Aug. 22, CryptoCon warned that bulls remained too optimistic concerning the $26,000 BTC value assist holding.

20-week EMA as BTC value line within the sand

Bitcoin staged a modest restoration above $26,500 round its newest every day shut, information from Cointelegraph Markets Professional and TradingView reveals — however a sober market synopsis says that bulls have way more work forward of them.

BTC/USD 1-week chart with 20 EMA. Supply: TradingView

For CryptoCon, the 20-week exponential shifting common (EMA), now at $27,750, have to be received again as assist to ensure that the uptrend to be secure.

“I’ve been overlaying this shifting common lots just lately, however I imagine it’s crucial for Bitcoin to regain its bullish standing,” he wrote.

The evaluation in contrast present BTC value motion to its rebound from 2018 cycle lows. Then, it took such a reclaim of the 20-week EMA to launch the trail to what finally turned Bitcoin’s 2021 all-time highs of $69,000.

Previous to that, nonetheless, an unsuccessful problem was met with a agency rejection.

“Worth surfaced the shifting common however couldn’t maintain it,” it said.

“It is vitally essential that Bitcoin each rises above and retests the 20 Week EMA as assist.”

An accompanying chart confirmed the similarities between 2019 and 2023, with the retest and subsequent profitable EMA reclaim circled.

BTC/USD annotated chart with 20-week EMA. Supply: CryptoCon

“All I see is weak point”

Elsewhere, CryptoCon questioned the validity of the present bullish argument surrounding Bitcoin’s relative energy index (RSI) readings.

Associated: Bitcoin halving can take BTC value to $148K by July 2025 — Pantera Capital

As Cointelegraph reported, these are at multi-year lows on a number of timeframes, suggesting that Bitcoin general is undersold at present costs.

“I might like to say that very oversold RSI is an effective factor however the one factor I can see is weak point,” he admitted.

“That is mixed with being under wholesome helps, and early reversal indicators in market construction. At the true backside, I imagine even probably the most bullish analysts can be questioning themselves. I stay optimistic to be proved flawed, but additionally life like primarily based on long run information.”

BTC/USD comparative chart with RSI. Supply: CryptoCon

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